Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

CO-05 House Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jeff Crank (R) at 68.5% in CO-05 House Election Winner — $30.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.3K.
Leading outcome
Jeff Crank (R)
68%
A 68.5% price implies roughly a 68-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D −6.0 pts30D −1.0 pts
Jeff Crank (R)68.5%
Jessica Killin (D)32.0%
Bid
68¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since January 28, 2026: 32.0% – 75.5% · Opened at 52.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
CO-05 House Election Winner
Category
Politics, Elections, Nov 4 Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Colorado Midterm, US Election, Key House Races, Tossup House Races
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$30.5K
Volume (24h)
$2.3K
Liquidity
$170.2K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Jeff Crank (R) — 68.5%
Resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Jeff Crank (R), is priced at 68.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -6.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.

Since January 28, 2026, Jeff Crank (R) has traded between 32.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 68.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202674.5%
Oct 18, 202675.0%
Oct 19, 202674.5%
Oct 20, 202674.5%
Oct 22, 202668.0%
Oct 23, 202668.5%
Oct 24, 202668.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Jeff Crank (R) is favored at 68.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Jeff Crank (R)68¢68.5%+0.5 pts$8.2K27.0%
Jessica Killin (D)32¢32.0%—$22.2K73.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$30.5K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,978 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,978$623
Little-GoldNo581$183
Attentive-CrewmanYes562$385
Weird-FreedomYes500$343
Pristine-BusinessYes500$342
Each-SummaryYes452$310
Prickly-EyrieYes330$226
Frozen-CarNo294$92
Our-DoughYes162$111
Tense-FortYes121$83

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $345 at 69.0%SELL No — $235 at 69.0%SELL No — $146 at 30.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:57 AM ETNoBUY68.0%$7
Oct 24, 11:57 AM ETNoBUY32.0%$3
Oct 24, 11:46 AM ETNoBUY68.0%$56
Oct 24, 11:46 AM ETNoSELL68.0%$18
Oct 24, 09:42 AM ETNoBUY69.0%$10
Oct 24, 09:33 AM ETNoBUY68.0%$18
Oct 24, 06:32 AM ETNoBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:32 AM ETYesBUY33.0%$6
Oct 23, 10:00 PM ETYesBUY69.0%$1
Oct 23, 07:11 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$32

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of CO-05 House Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jeff Crank (R) at 68.5%. Next is Jessica Killin (D) at 32.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/co-05-house-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on CO-05 House Election Winner?

$30.5K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does CO-05 House Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fec.gov/.

What is the most likely outcome of CO-05 House Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Jeff Crank (R), priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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