As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 54.5% in Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries? — $805 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 54.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +27.0 pts; past week: -24.0 pts; past month: -19.5 pts.
Since July 21, 2026, No has traded between 24.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 82.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.5% |
No is favored at 54.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 55¢ | 54.5% | -27.0 pts | $805 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 46¢ | 45.5% | +27.0 pts | $805 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 67¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$805 has been traded on this event in total, $55 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Colorado Initiative 110 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics and prohibit state and federal funding from being used for these procedures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.state.co.us/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 215 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 215 | $98 |
| Winged-Holder | No | 109 | $59 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 53 | $29 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | No | 30 | $16 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 27 | $15 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 27 | $12 |
| Tricky-Usher | Yes | 23 | $10 |
| Giving-Gateway | No | 20 | $11 |
| Venerated-Worm | No | 20 | $11 |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | No | 14 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 09:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 11:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 08:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 06:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 05:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 54.5%. Next is Yes at 45.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-passes-ballot-measure-banning-underage-transgender-surgeries-20260717183442477?via=bro
$805 in total volume, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.state.co.us/.
No, priced at 54.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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