As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 54.0% in Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? — $2.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, Yes has traded between 12.0% and 74.0%. It opened at 12.0% and last traded at 52.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.0% |
Yes is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54¢ | 54.0% | -2.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
| No | 46¢ | 46.0% | +2.5 pts | $2.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 70¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.5K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.state.co.us/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 220 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 220 | $101 |
| Scrawny-Venture | Yes | 200 | $108 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 200 | $108 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 161 | $87 |
| Speedy-Excellence | No | 127 | $58 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 100 | $54 |
| Measly-Gelatin | No | 94 | $43 |
| Evil-Row | No | 66 | $30 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | No | 60 | $28 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 40 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 11:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 04:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 10:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 10:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 11:24 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.8% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 04:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 19, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 54.0%. Next is No at 46.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-passes-ballot-measure-restricting-transgender-school-sports-access-20260710174205573?via=bro
$2.5K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.state.co.us/.
Yes, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.