As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 61.0% in Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028? — $1.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, No has traded between 55.5% and 87.0%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 61.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
No is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 61¢ | 61.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 39¢ | 39.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories: (1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems. (2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.congress.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 175 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Legend | Yes | 175 | $68 |
| Big-Repair | No | 163 | $99 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 112 | $44 |
| Tangible-Exasperation-Grit | No | 100 | $61 |
| Modern-Malice | No | 50 | $30 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 35 | $14 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 29 | $11 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $12 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 11 | $7 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 11 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 02:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 08:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 08:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 08:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 08:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 08:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $12 |
| Oct 16, 08:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 16, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $15 |
| Oct 16, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 61.0%. Next is Yes at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/comprehensive-federal-ai-framework-becomes-us-law-before-2028?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.congress.gov/.
No, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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