Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Connecticut Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ned Lamont (D) at 96.9% in Connecticut Governor Election Winner — $9.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Ned Lamont (D)
97%
A 96.9% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +0.3 pts30D +0.3 pts
Ned Lamont (D)96.9%
Ryan Fazio (R)3.2%
Bid
97¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 13, 2025: 50.0% – 97.4% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Category
Connecticut Midterm, Governor Elections, Politics, Elections, Midterms, US Election
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$9.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$51.8K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Ned Lamont (D) — 96.9%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Ned Lamont (D), is priced at 96.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: +0.3 pts.

Since October 13, 2025, Ned Lamont (D) has traded between 50.0% and 97.4%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 96.9%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202696.8%
Oct 15, 202696.7%
Oct 16, 202696.9%
Oct 18, 202696.6%
Oct 19, 202696.7%
Oct 20, 202696.6%
Oct 24, 202696.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ned Lamont (D) is favored at 96.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ned Lamont (D)97¢96.9%-0.1 pts$5.7K58.3%
Ryan Fazio (R)3¢3.2%+0.1 pts$4.1K41.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$9.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 634 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Legitimate-AirmanYes634$614
0xa5ef39c3…No392$12
Capital-ContributorYes260$252
Bossy-WastingYes159$154
Little-GoldNo157$5
Functional-HeartthrobYes148$144
0xfed7306e…No134$4
Trusty-AvenueNo125$4
Snappy-RoosterNo122$4
Tangible-FuelNo111$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $602 at 95.0%BUY No — $251 at 95.0%SELL No — $130 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 08:31 PM ETYesBUY3.4%$2
Oct 21, 06:44 PM ETNoBUY97.0%$74
Oct 21, 05:18 PM ETYesBUY3.4%$2
Oct 21, 02:59 PM ETYesBUY3.4%$1
Oct 17, 09:16 AM ETYesBUY97.0%$5
Oct 16, 03:40 PM ETNoBUY97.0%$5
Oct 14, 02:43 PM ETYesBUY96.5%$5
Oct 14, 02:43 PM ETNoBUY96.5%$5
Oct 14, 02:18 PM ETNoBUY3.6%$0
Oct 14, 02:18 PM ETNoBUY3.6%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Connecticut Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ned Lamont (D) at 96.9%. Next is Ryan Fazio (R) at 3.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/connecticut-governor-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Connecticut Governor Election Winner?

$9.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does Connecticut Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Connecticut Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Ned Lamont (D), priced at 96.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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