As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 33.5% in CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...? — $6.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 33.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 30.0% and 45.5%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 32.5%.
June 30, 2027 is favored at 33.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 34¢ | 33.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.8K | 45.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $2.3K | 38.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 20¢ | 20.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.0K | 16.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.1K has been traded on this event in total, $228 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 321 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Decoder | No | 321 | $213 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 166 | $55 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 50 | $17 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 50 | $17 |
| Black-Scallops | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 20 | $13 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Threadbare-Investor-Traffic | Yes | 15 | $5 |
| Speedy-Bartender | Yes | 15 | $5 |
| Substantial-Motor | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 09:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 09:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 09:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 04:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 33.5%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/coreweave-downgraded-by-moodys-or-sp-by?via=bro
$6.1K in total volume, with $228 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 33.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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