As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.5% in Cornell President out by October 31? — $11.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: -4.2 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, No has traded between 92.3% and 97.0%. It opened at 93.0% and last traded at 96.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.8% |
No is favored at 96.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.5% | -0.2 pts | $11.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.2 pts | $11.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.9K has been traded on this event in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Michael Kotlikoff’s departure as President of Cornell University is officially announced by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Michael Kotlikoff, Cornell University, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Michael Kotlikoff has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Cornell University. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when Michael Kotlikoff formally leaves the position. Announcements of Michael Kotlikoff’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to Michael Kotlikoff’s duties as President of Cornell University do not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,646 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legitimate-Airman | No | 1,646 | $1.6K |
| Scratchy-Loading | No | 823 | $795 |
| Impish-Shallows | Yes | 722 | $25 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | Yes | 500 | $18 |
| Canine-Practice | Yes | 359 | $13 |
| Studious-Outlaw | Yes | 268 | $9 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 233 | $8 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 102 | $4 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 73 | $70 |
| Golden-Panpipe | Yes | 55 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 10:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $80 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.8% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 03:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.5%. Next is Yes at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cornell-president-out-by-october-31?via=bro
$11.9K in total volume, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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