As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.8% in Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? — $11.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.2 pts; past month: -5.8 pts.
Since December 03, 2025, No has traded between 84.5% and 97.8%. It opened at 84.5% and last traded at 97.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.8% |
No is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.8% | — | $11.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $11.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 807 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buoyant-Ice | No | 807 | $789 |
| Plain-Designation | Yes | 764 | $17 |
| Honorable-Eating | Yes | 702 | $15 |
| x26 | No | 550 | $538 |
| Klutzy-Charter | No | 466 | $456 |
| Ill-Fated-Shorts | No | 380 | $372 |
| French-Dungeon | Yes | 292 | $6 |
| Bland-Plier | No | 274 | $268 |
| New-Penny | No | 266 | $261 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.9% | $3 |
| Oct 14, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 04:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 03:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $3 |
| Sep 29, 12:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $12 |
| Sep 29, 12:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $121 |
| Sep 12, 02:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Sep 12, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.8%. Next is Yes at 2.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/costco-increases-hotdog-price-before-2027?via=bro
$11.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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