As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Uruguay at 26.1% in Country To Be Removed as Host of 2030 World Cup? — $972 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Uruguay, is priced at 26.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +22.4 pts; past month: +21.4 pts.
Since August 07, 2026, Uruguay has traded between 2.5% and 26.2%. It opened at 4.5% and last traded at 26.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 26.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 26.1% |
Uruguay is favored at 26.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 26¢ | 26.1% | — | $275 | 28.3% |
| Paraguay | 25¢ | 25.4% | — | $587 | 60.4% |
| Portugal | 25¢ | 25.3% | +0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Argentina | 13¢ | 12.8% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spain | 8¢ | 8.1% | — | $57 | 5.8% |
| Morocco | 4¢ | 4.4% | — | $54 | 5.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$972 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately result in a “Yes” resolution for this market. Later retractions or alterations to a qualifying announcement will not affect the resolution of this market. If a qualifying announcement is not made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 110 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 110 | $29 |
| Trivial-Idea | No | 55 | $41 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 48 | $36 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 19 | $14 |
| Better-Denim-Diet | Yes | 6 | $2 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 6 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 03:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 03:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 03:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 03:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $1 |
| Oct 03, 03:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 03, 01:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Sep 16, 09:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $1 |
| Sep 10, 10:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Sep 10, 09:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $0 |
| Aug 25, 11:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Uruguay at 26.1%. Next is Paraguay at 25.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/country-to-be-removed-as-host-of-2030-world-cup-20260807013851002?via=bro
$972 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Uruguay, priced at 26.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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