As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 28.5% in Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...? — $6.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 28.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +6.0 pts; past week: -6.0 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, December 31 has traded between 14.5% and 52.0%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 28.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 28.5% |
December 31 is favored at 28.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 28¢ | 28.5% | +6.0 pts | $3.8K | 57.9% |
| October 31 | 17¢ | 17.4% | +0.1 pts | $2.7K | 42.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.5K has been traded on this event in total, $517 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 748 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verifiable-Obstacle | Yes | 748 | $213 |
| Fearful-Congress | No | 675 | $483 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | Yes | 419 | $119 |
| Fluffy-Toast | No | 219 | $157 |
| Known-Use | No | 118 | $85 |
| Small-Blowhole | No | 117 | $84 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 67 | $48 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 60 | $43 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 55 | $39 |
| Thorny-Acre-News | Yes | 37 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.6% | $91 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 06:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 11:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 11:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 28.5%. Next is October 31 at 17.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/courts-block-trumps-100000-truth-social-early-access-plan-by-october-31?via=bro
$6.5K in total volume, with $517 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 28.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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