As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price South Africa at 50.0% in Test Match: South Africa vs Australia — $224 traded so far.
The leading outcome, South Africa, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, South Africa has traded between 45.0% and 46.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 46.0%.
South Africa is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 50¢ | 50.0% | +4.0 pts | $3 | 1.3% |
| Australia | 41¢ | 41.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Draw | 9¢ | 9.0% | -10.5 pts | $221 | 98.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$224 has been traded on this event in total, $221 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 03:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rich-Caramel | Yes | 3 | $1 |
| Married-Lay | No | 2 | $1 |
| Stunning-Spur | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.9% | $100 |
| Oct 23, 08:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 08:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is South Africa at 50.0%. Next is Australia at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/crint-zaf-aus-2026-10-27?via=bro
$224 in total volume, with $221 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 03:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
South Africa, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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