As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.9% in Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? — $49.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.2 pts; past week: -1.4 pts; past month: +2.6 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, No has traded between 55.5% and 97.5%. It opened at 64.0% and last traded at 90.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 92.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.9% |
No is favored at 90.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91¢ | 90.9% | -1.2 pts | $49.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 9¢ | 9.1% | +1.2 pts | $49.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$49.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is enacted into U.S. federal law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” "Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following: 1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins); 2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; 3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21). … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,120 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giant-Slip | Yes | 4,120 | $375 |
| Athletic-Screwup | No | 2,182 | $2.0K |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | No | 1,962 | $1.8K |
| Sharp-Astrakhan | No | 1,281 | $1.2K |
| Mediocre-Wren | Yes | 831 | $76 |
| Black-And-White-Final | Yes | 697 | $63 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 590 | $54 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 438 | $398 |
| Close-Overnighter | No | 400 | $364 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 400 | $364 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.7% | $130 |
| Oct 24, 12:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.7% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 12:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.7% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.7% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.7% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.3% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.9% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.2% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.2% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.9%. Next is Yes at 9.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088?via=bro
$49.4K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 90.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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