As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic at 67.0% in Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs — $797 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -16.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic has traded between 49.0% and 76.5%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.0% |
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic | 67¢ | 67.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Under | 58¢ | 58.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Astralis | 57¢ | 57.5% | -2.5 pts | $797 | 100.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 55¢ | 55.0% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): Astralis | 55¢ | 54.5% | -7.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Astralis | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 52¢ | 51.5% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): Astralis | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): Astralis | 50¢ | 50.5% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Astralis | 50¢ | 50.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: fnatic | 50¢ | 50.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): fnatic | 50¢ | 49.5% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): fnatic | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 48¢ | 48.5% | -19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: fnatic | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5): fnatic | 46¢ | 45.5% | +7.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 45¢ | 45.0% | -5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: fnatic | 42¢ | 42.5% | +2.5 pts | $797 | 100.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Over | 42¢ | 41.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): Astralis | 33¢ | 33.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$797 has been traded on this event in total, $220 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins 2 or more maps than fnatic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "fnatic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:40 PM ET | fnatic | BUY | 43.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:30 PM ET | Astralis | BUY | 58.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:29 PM ET | Astralis | BUY | 58.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | Astralis | BUY | 58.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 PM ET | fnatic | BUY | 41.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 09:47 AM ET | fnatic | BUY | 41.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:47 AM ET | Astralis | BUY | 60.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:10 AM ET | Astralis | BUY | 60.6% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 02:39 AM ET | Astralis | BUY | 61.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:39 AM ET | Astralis | BUY | 61.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic at 67.0%. Next is O/U 2.5 Games: Under at 58.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-ast10-fnc-2026-10-27?via=bro
$797 in total volume, with $220 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 06:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5): fnatic, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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