As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Match Winner: Aurora Gaming at 77.0% in Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B — $5 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Match Winner: Aurora Gaming, is priced at 77.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Match Winner: Aurora Gaming has traded between 77.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 82.5% and last traded at 77.0%.
Match Winner: Aurora Gaming is favored at 77.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner: Aurora Gaming | 77¢ | 77.0% | -0.5 pts | $5 | 100.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Under | 71¢ | 71.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5): Liquid | 53¢ | 53.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Aurora Gaming | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Liquid | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Aurora Gaming | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Liquid | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5): Aurora Gaming | 47¢ | 47.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Over | 29¢ | 29.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Liquid | 23¢ | 23.0% | +0.5 pts | $5 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 08:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Aurora Gaming and Liquid in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Aurora Gaming.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Scimitar-Mom | Aurora Gaming | 5 | $4 |
| Ignorant-Nonsense-Seller | Liquid | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 08:39 PM ET | Liquid | BUY | 29.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is Match Winner: Aurora Gaming at 77.0%. Next is O/U 2.5 Games: Under at 71.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-aur1-tl1-2026-11-02?via=bro
$5 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 08:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.
Match Winner: Aurora Gaming, priced at 77.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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