Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A

As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Match Winner: Ducks at 57.0% in Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A — $59 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Match Winner: Ducks
57%
A 57.0% price implies roughly a 57-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts
Match Winner: Ducks57.0%
Map 1 Winner: Ducks50.0%
Bid
17¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
80¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 20, 2026: 57.0% – 75.5% · Opened at 75.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A
Category
Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Scheduled end
October 20, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$59
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$110
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Match Winner: Ducks — 57.0%
Resolution source
https://hltv.org

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Match Winner: Ducks, is priced at 57.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts.

Since October 20, 2026, Match Winner: Ducks has traded between 57.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 75.5% and last traded at 57.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Match Winner: Ducks is favored at 57.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Match Winner: Ducks57¢57.0%-2.5 pts$59100.0%
Map 1 Winner: Ducks50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Map 1 Winner: Dark Moon50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Map 2 Winner: Ducks50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Map 2 Winner: Dark Moon50¢50.0%—$00.0%
O/U 2.5 Games: Over50¢50.0%+0.5 pts$00.0%
O/U 2.5 Games: Under50¢50.0%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Map Handicap: DM (-1.5) vs Ducks (+1.5): Dark Moon50¢50.0%+0.5 pts$00.0%
Map Handicap: DM (-1.5) vs Ducks (+1.5): Ducks50¢50.0%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over50¢50.0%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under50¢50.0%+0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over50¢50.0%+0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under50¢50.0%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over50¢50.0%+0.5 pts$00.0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under50¢50.0%-0.5 pts$00.0%
Match Winner: Dark Moon43¢43.0%+2.5 pts$59100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 80¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$59 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 20, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners' match between Ducks and Dark Moon in the Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ducks" if Ducks win the match against Dark Moon. This market will resolve to "Dark Moon" if Dark Moon win the match against Ducks. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://hltv.org

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Ducks.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Sparse-CommonsenseDucks20$11
These-Latency-PerspectiveDark Moon20$9
Well-Worn-ChestDucks17$10
Abandoned-Bolero-HailDark Moon10$4
Annual-ReaderDark Moon7$3
Marvelous-Prow-BarstoolDucks5$3
Cooperative-CountrysideDark Moon5$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Ducks — $9 at 45.0%BUY Ducks — $8 at 46.4%BUY Dark Moon — $2 at 33.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 05:01 AM ETDucksBUY45.0%$9
Oct 21, 05:00 AM ETDucksSELL1.6%$0
Oct 20, 11:48 PM ETDucksBUY46.4%$8
Oct 20, 08:00 PM ETDark MoonBUY33.0%$2

Related markets

More Esports

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?: Under 89.0% · 24H VOL $4.81M

LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 100.0% · 24H VOL $4.33M

LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Match Winner: Bilibili Gaming 75.5% · 24H VOL $828.2K

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs

Map 1 Winner: Imperial 100.0% · 24H VOL $188.4K

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5: Over 50.0% · 24H VOL $122.3K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Match Winner: Ducks at 57.0%. Next is Map 1 Winner: Ducks at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-ducks1-dm2-2026-10-20?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A?

$59 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A end?

The market is scheduled to end October 20, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.

What is the most likely outcome of Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A, according to Polymarket traders?

Match Winner: Ducks, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.