As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Match Winner: Ducks at 57.0% in Counter-Strike: Ducks vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A — $59 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Match Winner: Ducks, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Match Winner: Ducks has traded between 57.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 75.5% and last traded at 57.0%.
Match Winner: Ducks is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner: Ducks | 57¢ | 57.0% | -2.5 pts | $59 | 100.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Ducks | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Dark Moon | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Ducks | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Dark Moon | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: DM (-1.5) vs Ducks (+1.5): Dark Moon | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: DM (-1.5) vs Ducks (+1.5): Ducks | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Dark Moon | 43¢ | 43.0% | +2.5 pts | $59 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 80¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 20, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners' match between Ducks and Dark Moon in the Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ducks" if Ducks win the match against Dark Moon. This market will resolve to "Dark Moon" if Dark Moon win the match against Ducks. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Ducks.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparse-Commonsense | Ducks | 20 | $11 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Dark Moon | 20 | $9 |
| Well-Worn-Chest | Ducks | 17 | $10 |
| Abandoned-Bolero-Hail | Dark Moon | 10 | $4 |
| Annual-Reader | Dark Moon | 7 | $3 |
| Marvelous-Prow-Barstool | Ducks | 5 | $3 |
| Cooperative-Countryside | Dark Moon | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 05:01 AM ET | Ducks | BUY | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 05:00 AM ET | Ducks | SELL | 1.6% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 11:48 PM ET | Ducks | BUY | 46.4% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 08:00 PM ET | Dark Moon | BUY | 33.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Match Winner: Ducks at 57.0%. Next is Map 1 Winner: Ducks at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-ducks1-dm2-2026-10-20?via=bro
$59 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 20, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.
Match Winner: Ducks, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.