As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic at 69.5% in Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs — $72 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic, is priced at 69.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.0 pts; past week: -21.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic has traded between 49.5% and 81.5%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 72.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.5% |
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic is favored at 69.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic | 70¢ | 69.5% | -7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: magic | 55¢ | 54.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: BIG | 54¢ | 53.5% | +0.5 pts | $72 | 100.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 54¢ | 53.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: BIG | 53¢ | 53.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5): BIG | 52¢ | 52.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 52¢ | 52.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 52¢ | 52.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5): magic | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5): BIG | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5): BIG | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5): magic | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 48¢ | 48.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 48¢ | 48.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Over | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5): magic | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: magic | 47¢ | 47.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: magic | 46¢ | 46.5% | -0.5 pts | $72 | 100.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 46¢ | 46.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: BIG | 46¢ | 45.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): BIG | 30¢ | 30.5% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 34¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$72 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 01:00 PM ET.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between magic and BIG in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:19 AM ET | BIG | BUY | 54.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 03:59 AM ET | magic | BUY | 47.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 01:18 AM ET | magic | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 12:57 AM ET | magic | BUY | 48.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 07:43 AM ET | BIG | BUY | 55.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 11:13 PM ET | BIG | BUY | 55.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 02:08 PM ET | magic | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic at 69.5%. Next is Map 2 Winner: magic at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mgc-big5-2026-10-27?via=bro
$72 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 01:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5): magic, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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