As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Match Winner: MIBR at 64.5% in Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs — $42 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Match Winner: MIBR, is priced at 64.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -6.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Match Winner: MIBR has traded between 63.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 64.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.5% |
Match Winner: MIBR is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner: MIBR | 64¢ | 64.5% | -2.0 pts | $32 | 76.4% |
| Map 2 Winner: MIBR | 62¢ | 62.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5): Eternal Fire | 62¢ | 62.0% | +1.0 pts | $5 | 11.8% |
| Map 1 Winner: MIBR | 62¢ | 61.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): Eternal Fire | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): Eternal Fire | 58¢ | 58.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 56¢ | 55.5% | -15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Under | 55¢ | 55.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): Eternal Fire | 51¢ | 51.0% | +0.5 pts | $5 | 11.8% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): MIBR | 49¢ | 49.0% | -0.5 pts | $5 | 11.8% |
| O/U 2.5 Games: Over | 45¢ | 45.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 44¢ | 44.5% | +15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): MIBR | 42¢ | 42.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5): MIBR | 42¢ | 41.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Eternal Fire | 38¢ | 38.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5): MIBR | 38¢ | 38.0% | -1.0 pts | $5 | 11.8% |
| Map 2 Winner: Eternal Fire | 38¢ | 37.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Eternal Fire | 36¢ | 35.5% | +2.0 pts | $32 | 76.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 65¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$42 has been traded on this event in total, $21 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 08:30 PM ET.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between MIBR and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against MIBR. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 21 shares of Eternal Fire.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lighthearted-Cclamp-Gadget | Eternal Fire | 21 | $7 |
| Best-Mutt | MIBR | 20 | $13 |
| Mortified-Graffiti | MIBR | 6 | $4 |
| Long-Term-Tonality | MIBR | 5 | $3 |
| Ignorant-Nonsense-Seller | Eternal Fire | 5 | $2 |
| Buoyant-Molasses | Eternal Fire | 5 | $2 |
| Weird-Turmeric-Education | MIBR | 1 | $1 |
| Active-Shallot | Eternal Fire | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:08 AM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 AM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 34.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:38 PM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 11:39 AM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 42.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 11:27 AM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 11:13 PM ET | Eternal Fire | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 09:27 AM ET | MIBR | BUY | 82.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Match Winner: MIBR at 64.5%. Next is Map 2 Winner: MIBR at 62.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-mibr-ef1-2026-10-27?via=bro
$42 in total volume, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 08:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://hltv.org.
Match Winner: MIBR, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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