As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 75.8% in Cusco Mayoral Election Winner — $28.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, is priced at 75.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.1 pts; past week: -4.8 pts; past month: +31.8 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar has traded between 13.0% and 94.7%. It opened at 13.0% and last traded at 75.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 80.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 72.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.9% |
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar is favored at 75.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar | 76¢ | 75.8% | +1.1 pts | $18.0K | 63.0% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Sullca Condori | 7¢ | 7.4% | — | $457 | 1.6% |
| Federico Huamán Tapara | 5¢ | 5.2% | — | $549 | 1.9% |
| William Peña Farfán | 5¢ | 4.6% | +4.5 pts | $6.5K | 22.6% |
| Iván Hurtado Villafuerte | 4¢ | 4.0% | +2.4 pts | $399 | 1.4% |
| Jesyka Guevara Villanueva | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.1 pts | $287 | 1.0% |
| Jorge Luis Segura Ttito | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $274 | 1.0% |
| Eulogio Tapia Deza | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $323 | 1.1% |
| Gabriela Paliza Romero | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.2 pts | $287 | 1.0% |
| Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $337 | 1.2% |
| Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $323 | 1.1% |
| Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $283 | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $312 | 1.1% |
| Eduardo Zans Loayza | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $325 | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 45¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.7K has been traded on this event in total, $142 of it in the last 24 hours, across 41 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolution source: https://jne.gob.pe
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 554 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 554 | $420 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | No | 485 | $117 |
| Spiffy-Consist | Yes | 472 | $358 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 469 | $113 |
| Known-Use | No | 247 | $60 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 237 | $180 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 208 | $50 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 164 | $124 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 140 | $34 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | Yes | 108 | $82 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $112 |
| Oct 18, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.1% | $22 |
| Oct 17, 12:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 4.4% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 11:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.8% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.8% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.6% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.4% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 75.8%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cusco-mayoral-election-winner-20260811162428694?via=bro
$28.7K in total volume, with $142 traded in the last 24 hours across 41 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://jne.gob.pe.
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, priced at 75.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.