Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.7% in Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
89%
A 88.7% price implies roughly a 89-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.4 pts7D −3.2 pts
No88.7%
Yes11.3%
Bid
10¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 16, 2026: 33.5% – 91.5% · Opened at 33.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?
Category
Finance, Earnings, Hide From New, Equities, CVNA
Scheduled end
October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET
Total volume
$1.8K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$503
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 88.7%
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CVNA/earnings

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.7%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -3.2 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 33.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 33.5% and last traded at 88.6%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 88.7%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No89¢88.7%+0.4 pts$1.8K100.0%
Yes11¢11.3%-0.4 pts$1.8K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

As of market creation, Carvana is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Carvana's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Carvana reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.45 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Carvana releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CVNA/earnings

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 416 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Prudent-WheelYes416$47
Frosty-FundingNo400$355
Awesome-AvailabilityNo300$266
Pure-ThreatNo260$230
Partial-AdrenalinYes220$25
Stale-CashewYes83$9
Gleaming-HandlebarYes70$8
0x150d5043…Yes58$7
Impassioned-ChastityNo50$44
Plump-ImplementationNo42$37

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $166 at 55.3%SELL No — $118 at 84.0%BUY Yes — $58 at 13.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 06:15 PM ETYesSELL10.5%$0
Oct 23, 03:04 PM ETYesBUY13.9%$58
Oct 23, 12:14 PM ETNoSELL86.3%$0
Oct 23, 12:14 PM ETYesBUY13.6%$7
Oct 23, 12:14 PM ETYesBUY13.6%$7
Oct 20, 12:32 AM ETYesBUY3.1%$0
Oct 20, 12:00 AM ETNoBUY95.2%$40
Oct 18, 07:46 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$7
Oct 18, 07:33 AM ETYesSELL9.0%$2
Oct 18, 07:28 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$18

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.7%. Next is Yes at 11.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cvna-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt45?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings??

$1.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CVNA/earnings.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 88.7% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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