As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 85.5% in Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? — $2.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts; past week: +20.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 74.0% and 79.0%. It opened at 74.0% and last traded at 78.0%.
Yes is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86¢ | 85.5% | +7.5 pts | $2.4K | 100.0% |
| No | 14¢ | 14.5% | -7.5 pts | $2.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.4K has been traded on this event in total, $14 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Chevron is estimated to release earnings on October 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Chevron’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chevron reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Chevron releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CVX/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 852 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Festival | Yes | 852 | $728 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 491 | $71 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 300 | $43 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 200 | $171 |
| Nocturnal-Counterforce | No | 147 | $21 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 111 | $95 |
| LIBAI | Yes | 100 | $86 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 60 | $9 |
| Grim-Gift-Fillet | No | 60 | $9 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 59 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 82.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 10:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 09:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 02:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 02:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 03:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 03:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 85.5%. Next is No at 14.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cvx-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-30-2026-4pt88?via=bro
$2.4K in total volume, with $14 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CVX/earnings.
Yes, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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