As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31 at 31.5% in Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...? — $669 traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, is priced at 31.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, March 31 has traded between 30.0% and 43.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 31.5%.
March 31 is favored at 31.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 32¢ | 31.5% | +0.5 pts | $250 | 37.3% |
| December 31 | 28¢ | 27.5% | -2.5 pts | $266 | 39.7% |
| November 30 | 16¢ | 16.5% | -1.0 pts | $154 | 23.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 26¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$669 has been traded on this event in total, $25 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Danielle Smith's departure as Premier of Alberta is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Danielle Smith, the Government of Alberta, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Smith has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Premier of Alberta. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speedy-Bartender | Yes | 100 | $32 |
| Known-Use | No | 38 | $26 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 37 | $25 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 20 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 17 | $12 |
| Threadbare-Investor-Traffic | Yes | 8 | $3 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $41 |
| Oct 23, 11:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $28 |
| Oct 23, 02:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $40 |
| Oct 22, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 07:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 06:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 04:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31 at 31.5%. Next is December 31 at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/danielle-smith-out-as-premier-of-alberta-by?via=bro
$669 in total volume, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
March 31, priced at 31.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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