Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 44.1% in Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap — $416 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2027
44%
A 44.1% price implies roughly a 44-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +23.3 pts30D +23.6 pts
No IPO by December 31, 202744.1%
$150B-$200B44.0%
Bid
2¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
84¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 01, 2026: 19.0% – 64.5% · Opened at 45.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
IPO, IPOs, Finance, Databricks, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$416
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.2K
Markets
9
Leading outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2027 — 44.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No IPO by December 31, 2027, is priced at 44.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +23.3 pts; past month: +23.6 pts.

Since July 01, 2026, No IPO by December 31, 2027 has traded between 19.0% and 64.5%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 44.1%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202620.7%
Oct 18, 202620.6%
Oct 19, 202620.8%
Oct 20, 202620.1%
Oct 22, 202645.5%
Oct 23, 202645.4%
Oct 24, 202644.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No IPO by December 31, 2027 is favored at 44.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No IPO by December 31, 202744¢44.1%—$27265.4%
$150B-$200B44¢44.0%—$184.3%
$250B-$300B44¢44.0%—$184.3%
$300B-$350B44¢44.0%—$184.3%
$350B-$400B44¢44.0%—$184.3%
$400B-$450B44¢44.0%—$184.3%
$450B+44¢44.0%—$184.3%
<$150B44¢43.5%—$184.3%
$200B-$250B44¢43.5%—$184.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 84¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$416 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 18 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Mortified-WetlandYes18$8
0xa5ef39c3…No18$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $52 at 98.0%SELL Yes — $40 at 40.1%BUY No — $19 at 19.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Sep 01, 02:24 AM ETYesSELL8.0%$0
Aug 31, 10:31 PM ETYesSELL40.1%$40
Aug 30, 03:17 AM ETYesSELL1.0%$0
Aug 30, 03:17 AM ETYesSELL1.0%$0
Aug 07, 05:25 AM ETNoBUY17.0%$3
Aug 07, 05:09 AM ETNoBUY19.0%$19
Jul 01, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$52

Related markets

More IPO

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 44.1%. Next is $150B-$200B at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260630152322605?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap?

$416 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.

When does Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

No IPO by December 31, 2027, priced at 44.1% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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