Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Databricks at 69.5% in Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? — $7.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Databricks
70%
A 69.5% price implies roughly a 70-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D +6.0 pts30D +11.5 pts
Databricks69.5%
Stripe30.5%
Bid
56¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
27¢
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Range since May 19, 2026: 9.0% – 82.0% · Opened at 58.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
Category
Finance, Privates, Recurring
Scheduled end
January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.6K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$197
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Databricks — 69.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Databricks, is priced at 69.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: +11.5 pts.

Since May 19, 2026, Databricks has traded between 9.0% and 82.0%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 69.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202643.0%
Oct 16, 202641.0%
Oct 18, 202663.5%
Oct 19, 202650.5%
Oct 20, 202649.0%
Oct 23, 202667.0%
Oct 24, 202669.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Databricks is favored at 69.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Databricks70¢69.5%+1.0 pts$7.6K100.0%
Stripe30¢30.5%-1.0 pts$7.6K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 27¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 735 shares of Databricks.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0x4c2966a1…Databricks735$511
Belated-GlueStripe664$203
Unlined-PoleStripe505$154
Drab-BustleDatabricks407$283
Known-UseDatabricks83$58
Awesome-AvailabilityStripe81$25
Evil-RowStripe61$19
Verifiable-ObstacleDatabricks59$41
Oddball-PoisonDatabricks50$35
0x34a9e26a…Databricks32$22

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Databricks — $169 at 66.8%BUY Databricks — $109 at 70.7%BUY Databricks — $36 at 71.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 12:21 PM ETDatabricksBUY71.0%$36
Oct 22, 11:48 AM ETDatabricksSELL66.0%$1
Oct 22, 11:48 AM ETDatabricksBUY67.0%$35
Oct 22, 11:48 AM ETStripeSELL34.0%$17
Oct 22, 01:49 AM ETDatabricksSELL66.0%$0
Oct 19, 06:55 PM ETDatabricksBUY70.0%$1
Oct 19, 06:54 PM ETDatabricksBUY72.0%$1
Oct 19, 06:54 PM ETDatabricksBUY70.7%$109
Oct 19, 06:54 PM ETDatabricksBUY70.0%$1
Oct 19, 06:54 PM ETDatabricksBUY70.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Databricks at 69.5%. Next is Stripe at 30.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/databricks-vs-stripe-higher-valuation-on-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31??

$7.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Databricks, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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