As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $20M at 52.5% in Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $19.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $20M, is priced at 52.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +5.5 pts; past month: -20.5 pts.
Since March 02, 2026, $20M has traded between 38.4% and 96.6%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 52.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.5% |
$20M is favored at 52.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 52¢ | 52.5% | +0.1 pts | $4.8K | 24.5% |
| $50M | 37¢ | 37.0% | -6.0 pts | $4.1K | 20.9% |
| $100M | 32¢ | 32.0% | — | $4.1K | 21.2% |
| $200M | 18¢ | 18.0% | — | $1.2K | 6.2% |
| $800M | 18¢ | 17.8% | -5.7 pts | $1.1K | 5.9% |
| $300M | 14¢ | 14.1% | +0.1 pts | $3.3K | 17.1% |
| $500M | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $808 | 4.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/DecibelTrade
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 356 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 356 | $169 |
| Mad-Research-Wasp | Yes | 248 | $130 |
| Inferior-Repayment-Injunction | Yes | 191 | $100 |
| Nutty-Dagger | Yes | 115 | $60 |
| Evil-Row | No | 110 | $52 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 106 | $50 |
| Informal-Pea | Yes | 100 | $52 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 72 | $34 |
| Emotional-Journey | Yes | 64 | $34 |
| Beloved-Parsnip | Yes | 50 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 11:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 03:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $16 |
| Oct 16, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $26 |
| Oct 16, 01:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 11:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 02:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 02:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.1% | $29 |
| Oct 12, 09:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $20M at 52.5%. Next is $50M at 37.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/decibel-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$19.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/DecibelTrade.
$20M, priced at 52.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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