As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 65.7% in Deepseek IPO by...? — $56.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 65.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.7 pts; past week: -1.6 pts; past month: -15.2 pts.
Since July 15, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 46.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 65.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 68.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 63.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 65.8% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 65.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 66¢ | 65.7% | -0.7 pts | $10.3K | 18.1% |
| September 30, 2027 | 64¢ | 64.0% | +1.0 pts | $11.3K | 19.9% |
| June 30, 2027 | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $8.6K | 15.1% |
| March 31, 2027 | 18¢ | 18.5% | -0.5 pts | $15.8K | 27.7% |
| December 31, 2026 | 5¢ | 5.1% | -0.2 pts | $10.9K | 19.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$56.9K has been traded on this event in total, $264 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,545 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overcooked-Monitoring | No | 1,545 | $530 |
| Admired-Sheep | Yes | 940 | $618 |
| Original-Knee | Yes | 933 | $613 |
| Belated-Meringue | No | 456 | $156 |
| Hidden-Bafflement | Yes | 112 | $74 |
| Windy-Counterpart-Harp | Yes | 79 | $52 |
| Forceful-Gynaecology | No | 70 | $24 |
| Each-Timeline | No | 56 | $19 |
| Profitable-Punishment | No | 51 | $17 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 50 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 10:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.6% | $101 |
| Oct 23, 02:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 02:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 02:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $62 |
| Oct 23, 02:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 65.7%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 64.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-ipo-byptptpt-20260714175933543?via=bro
$56.9K in total volume, with $264 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 65.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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