As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10.5% in Democratic VP Nominee 2028 — $117.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, is priced at 10.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts.
Since April 21, 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has traded between 6.5% and 33.0%. It opened at 6.5% and last traded at 10.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.5% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is favored at 10.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $10.0K | 8.5% |
| Wes Moore | 7¢ | 6.8% | +0.4 pts | $2.7K | 2.3% |
| Elissa Slotkin | 7¢ | 6.7% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K | 1.5% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 6¢ | 5.6% | — | $5.4K | 4.6% |
| Andy Beshear | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.4 pts | $5.6K | 4.8% |
| James Talarico | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K | 1.2% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 5¢ | 5.2% | — | $9.2K | 7.9% |
| Jon Ossoff | 5¢ | 4.9% | — | $2.8K | 2.4% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 4¢ | 4.4% | +1.8 pts | $14.0K | 11.9% |
| Mark Kelly | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $4.0K | 3.4% |
| Bernie Sanders | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.1 pts | $2.6K | 2.2% |
| Phil Murphy | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.9 pts | $2.7K | 2.3% |
| J.B. Pritzker | 3¢ | 3.4% | +1.1 pts | $1.5K | 1.2% |
| Raphael Warnock | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.7 pts | $2.6K | 2.2% |
| Roy Cooper | 3¢ | 3.2% | +1.2 pts | $1.7K | 1.5% |
| Kim Kardashian | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.3 pts | $2.9K | 2.4% |
| Chris Murphy | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.2 pts | $2.0K | 1.7% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.2 pts | $2.9K | 2.5% |
| Josh Shapiro | 2¢ | 2.0% | -0.8 pts | $5.5K | 4.7% |
| Gavin Newsom | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.5 pts | $2.3K | 2.0% |
| LeBron James | 2¢ | 1.9% | -1.3 pts | $734 | 0.6% |
| Ro Khanna | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $3.6K | 3.1% |
| Gina Raimondo | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.1 pts | $2.7K | 2.3% |
| Kamala Harris | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.4 pts | $859 | 0.7% |
| Ruben Gallego | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.2 pts | $501 | 0.4% |
| Andrew Yang | 1¢ | 1.5% | -0.2 pts | $960 | 0.8% |
| Barack Obama | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.4 pts | $2.2K | 1.9% |
| Tim Walz | 1¢ | 1.0% | +0.4 pts | $1.8K | 1.5% |
| Michelle Obama | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.6K | 1.4% |
| Oprah Winfrey | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K | 1.1% |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $1.2K | 1.0% |
| Jared Polis | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $820 | 0.7% |
| Jon Stewart | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $2.0K | 1.7% |
| Hunter Biden | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $4.3K | 3.7% |
| George Clooney | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 1.2% |
| Stephen A. Smith | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $2.1K | 1.8% |
| John Fetterman | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.3 pts | $742 | 0.6% |
| Chelsea Clinton | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $537 | 0.5% |
| Cory Booker | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.1K | 0.9% |
| Beto O’Rourke | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $569 | 0.5% |
| Mark Cuban | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 1.0% |
| Hillary Clinton | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $533 | 0.5% |
| Liz Cheney | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $919 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$117.2K has been traded on this event in total, $689 of it in the last 24 hours, across 128 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution source: https://democrats.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,997 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,997 | $1.8K |
| DataDog | Yes | 545 | $57 |
| Anchored-Pawnshop | Yes | 412 | $43 |
| Expensive-Struggle | No | 406 | $363 |
| Lanky-Frigate | Yes | 268 | $28 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 222 | $23 |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 206 | $22 |
| Unkempt-Key | Yes | 200 | $21 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 144 | $15 |
| Delicious-Leader | Yes | 138 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $111 |
| Oct 24, 07:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 07:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.2% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 08:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.7% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 12:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.4% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 06:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.2% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 06:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.3% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 05:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.3% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 08:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.8% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 07:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.2% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 10.5%. Next is Wes Moore at 6.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-vp-nominee-2028?via=bro
$117.2K in total volume, with $689 traded in the last 24 hours across 128 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 07, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://democrats.org/.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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