As of October 24, 2026, 08:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 8.5+ rushing TDs at 97.9% in Pro Football: Derrick Henry 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns — $5.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 8.5+ rushing TDs, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +6.4 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 8.5+ rushing TDs has traded between 49.5% and 98.1%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 98.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.1% |
8.5+ rushing TDs is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5+ rushing TDs | 98¢ | 97.9% | +0.1 pts | $574 | 10.9% |
| 10.5+ rushing TDs | 84¢ | 84.3% | -0.3 pts | $367 | 7.0% |
| 12.5+ rushing TDs | 74¢ | 73.5% | +6.0 pts | $1.1K | 20.9% |
| 14.5+ rushing TDs | 64¢ | 63.5% | +7.0 pts | $1.2K | 21.9% |
| 16.5+ rushing TDs | 52¢ | 51.5% | +4.5 pts | $2.1K | 39.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $379 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Derrick Henry records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 8.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Derrick Henry does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Derrick Henry recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 300 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 300 | $294 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 156 | $3 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 53 | $1 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 25 | $1 |
| Bewitched-Matchmaker-Pilgrim | No | 20 | $0 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | No | 20 | $0 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 20 | $0 |
| Probable-Moon-Lawyer | No | 10 | $0 |
| Tiny-Whisper | Yes | 7 | $7 |
| Energetic-Gasp | Yes | 5 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 8.5+ rushing TDs at 97.9%. Next is 10.5+ rushing TDs at 84.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/derrick-henry-rushing-touchdowns-2026-27?via=bro
$5.3K in total volume, with $379 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
8.5+ rushing TDs, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.