As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alison Jarman at 65.5% in Devonport Mayoral Election Winner — $8.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alison Jarman, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +8.5 pts; past month: +8.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Alison Jarman has traded between 33.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 63.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 63.5% |
Alison Jarman is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Jarman | 66¢ | 65.5% | +3.0 pts | $6.0K | 72.9% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Steve Martin | 32¢ | 32.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.2K | 27.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 13¢ (bid 59¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $51 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,091 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 1,091 | $376 |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 858 | $562 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 352 | $230 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 256 | $88 |
| Reasonable-Pronunciation | Yes | 184 | $121 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 150 | $52 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 108 | $37 |
| Shiny-Jury | Yes | 77 | $50 |
| Unique-Dinner | Yes | 61 | $40 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 60 | $39 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 01:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 07:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 04:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 03:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 08:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 12:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alison Jarman at 65.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/devonport-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$8.2K in total volume, with $51 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Alison Jarman, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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