Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 57.3% in Discord IPO Closing Market Cap — $170.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.8K.
Leading outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2027
57%
A 57.3% price implies roughly a 57-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.6 pts7D −2.1 pts30D −1.2 pts
No IPO by December 31, 202757.3%
11–14B7.3%
Bid
56¢
Ask
58¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since June 26, 2026: 1.1% – 78.9% · Opened at 44.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Category
IPO, IPOs, Tech, Finance, Business, technology, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$170.7K
Volume (24h)
$2.8K
Liquidity
$25.9K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2027 — 57.3%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No IPO by December 31, 2027, is priced at 57.3%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.6 pts; past week: -2.1 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.

Since June 26, 2026, No IPO by December 31, 2027 has traded between 1.1% and 78.9%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 57.3%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202659.4%
Oct 18, 202659.4%
Oct 19, 202659.8%
Oct 20, 202658.6%
Oct 22, 202648.2%
Oct 23, 202655.7%
Oct 24, 202657.3%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No IPO by December 31, 2027 is favored at 57.3%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No IPO by December 31, 202757¢57.3%+1.6 pts$78.1K45.8%
11–14B7¢7.3%-12.4 pts$27.6K16.2%
14–17B6¢5.7%+0.1 pts$4.8K2.8%
<5B5¢4.8%+1.4 pts$19.2K11.2%
17–20B4¢4.3%+0.1 pts$6.2K3.6%
8–11B3¢3.3%—$23.1K13.5%
20B+3¢2.6%+0.1 pts$6.0K3.5%
5–8B2¢2.1%—$5.8K3.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$170.7K has been traded on this event in total, $2.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,722 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No4,722$2.0K
JimBobBoiNo2,025$865
Flamboyant-WarmingYes1,697$972
Infatuated-DilutionYes1,680$962
Unlined-PoleNo1,547$661
Opulent-RightYes1,345$771
Overcooked-MonitoringYes1,153$661
Caring-CreditorYes747$428
Hideous-RacerYes500$287
Wordy-WifiYes379$217

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $1.4K at 50.1%BUY Yes — $721 at 61.3%SELL Yes — $339 at 65.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:06 PM ETNoSELL42.9%$21
Oct 24, 10:46 AM ETYesSELL6.7%$6
Oct 24, 10:09 AM ETYesSELL7.3%$8
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETNoSELL84.7%$11
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETYesSELL7.2%$4
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETYesSELL19.0%$223
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$46
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETYesBUY13.2%$1
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETNoBUY82.6%$41
Oct 24, 05:20 AM ETNoBUY84.9%$172

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Discord IPO Closing Market Cap?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 57.3%. Next is 11–14B at 7.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/discord-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260626185933220?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Discord IPO Closing Market Cap?

$170.7K in total volume, with $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does Discord IPO Closing Market Cap end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Discord IPO Closing Market Cap, according to Polymarket traders?

No IPO by December 31, 2027, priced at 57.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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