As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.9% in Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? — $31.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -3.4 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, No has traded between 59.7% and 97.0%. It opened at 93.5% and last traded at 96.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.9% |
No is favored at 96.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.9% | -0.1 pts | $31.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $31.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$31.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single trading card sells for more than $16,492,000 USD in a public auction completed on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying sale is the sale of a single trading card, including but not limited to sports cards, Pokémon and other trading card game cards, and non-sport trading cards at a public auction conducted by Goldin or Heritage Auctions, for a total price strictly greater than $16,492,000 USD. The total price including buyer's premium and fees counts, consistent with the $16,492,000 benchmark set by the sale of Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card at Goldin in February 2026. Private sales, fixed-price sales, and sales through any other venue or auction house do not count. Only completed auction sales count. Listings, asking prices, unmet reserves, withdrawn lots, and unverified sales do not count. Sales of multi-card lots, sealed products, or bundles do not count; the qualifying price must be attributable to a single card (associated accessories or memorabilia included with the card, as in the benchmark sale, do not disqualify it). If a qualifying sale is voided, rescinded, or determined to be fraudulent or non-bona fide (including non-payment by the winning bidder) prior to resolution, it will not count. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://goldin.co
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 991 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearty-Sprat | No | 991 | $960 |
| Rotten-Badger | Yes | 591 | $19 |
| Pure-Threat | No | 350 | $339 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 182 | $6 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 150 | $5 |
| Responsible-Concept | No | 150 | $145 |
| Zealous-Vegetarian | Yes | 140 | $4 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 119 | $4 |
| Ripe-Botany | No | 118 | $114 |
| Compassionate-Bassinet | Yes | 105 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 08:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 11:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.5% | $26 |
| Oct 19, 09:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 09:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 09:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 09:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 09:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.9%. Next is Yes at 3.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/does-a-card-sell-for-more-than-logans-record-16492000-by-the-end-of-2026-20260812144132445?via=bro
$31.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://goldin.co.
No, priced at 96.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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