As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 200+ at 99.8% in Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026? — $42.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 200+, is priced at 99.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.2 pts; past week: +74.8 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, 200+ has traded between 19.5% and 99.8%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 99.8%.
200+ is favored at 99.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 100¢ | 99.8% | +2.2 pts | $11.7K | 27.4% |
| 180-199 | 0¢ | 0.2% | -2.5 pts | $9.5K | 22.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$42.9K has been traded on this event in total, $5.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 20, 12:00 PM ET and October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,948 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophisticated-Hat | Yes | 1,948 | $1.9K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,916 | $5 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Clank | No | 1,470 | $4 |
| Plaintive-Bankbook | Yes | 1,068 | $1.1K |
| Stupendous-Warning | Yes | 584 | $582 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 327 | $326 |
| Bossy-Expose | No | 259 | $1 |
| Cluttered-Hill | No | 250 | $1 |
| Compassionate-Immortal | Yes | 212 | $211 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 197 | $197 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.6% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 03:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.8% | $748 |
| Oct 24, 02:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $817 |
| Oct 24, 02:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.6% | $347 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.6% | $140 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 200+ at 99.8%. Next is 180-199 at 0.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-october-20-october-27-2026?via=bro
$42.9K in total volume, with $5.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump.
200+, priced at 99.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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