As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 200+ at 46.0% in Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 23 - October 30, 2026? — $26.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 200+, is priced at 46.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -12.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, 200+ has traded between 32.0% and 58.5%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 46.0%.
200+ is favored at 46.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 46¢ | 46.0% | -12.5 pts | $6.4K | 23.9% |
| 180-199 | 16¢ | 16.0% | +5.5 pts | $2.6K | 9.8% |
| 140-159 | 14¢ | 13.5% | +3.0 pts | $2.8K | 10.3% |
| 160-179 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $2.5K | 9.4% |
| 120-139 | 10¢ | 10.2% | +0.9 pts | $3.2K | 12.0% |
| 100-119 | 4¢ | 4.0% | +3.1 pts | $2.3K | 8.7% |
| 80-99 | 2¢ | 1.5% | +1.2 pts | $1.9K | 7.1% |
| 60-79 | 1¢ | 1.0% | +0.9 pts | $2.1K | 7.9% |
| 20-39 | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $1.3K | 4.8% |
| 40-59 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $702 | 2.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.8K has been traded on this event in total, $6.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 23, 12:00 PM ET and October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,486 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug | Yes | 1,486 | $684 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,164 | $628 |
| Ajar-Backup | No | 458 | $248 |
| False-Relaxation | No | 221 | $120 |
| Virtual-Subroutine-Font | Yes | 200 | $92 |
| Sunny-Cacao | Yes | 141 | $65 |
| Evil-Row | No | 130 | $70 |
| Putrid-Elevation-Passbook | No | 115 | $62 |
| Hoarse-Display | Yes | 111 | $51 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 101 | $54 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.4% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 09:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 200+ at 46.0%. Next is 180-199 at 16.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-october-23-october-30-2026?via=bro
$26.8K in total volume, with $6.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump.
200+, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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