As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 200+ at 50.5% in Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 27 - November 3, 2026? — $5.2K traded so far.
200+ is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $952 | 18.4% |
| 120-139 | 16¢ | 15.8% | — | $316 | 6.1% |
| 180-199 | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $696 | 13.4% |
| 140-159 | 11¢ | 11.0% | — | $858 | 16.6% |
| 160-179 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $629 | 12.1% |
| 100-119 | 8¢ | 7.8% | — | $213 | 4.1% |
| 20-39 | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $332 | 6.4% |
| 40-59 | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $330 | 6.4% |
| <20 | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $458 | 8.8% |
| 60-79 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $205 | 4.0% |
| 80-99 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $189 | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.2K has been traded on this event in total, $5.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 27, 12:00 PM ET and November 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 181 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 181 | $90 |
| False-Relaxation | No | 169 | $84 |
| Secondary-Clogs | Yes | 149 | $75 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Ajar-Backup | Yes | 52 | $26 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 35 | $17 |
| Bronze-Download-Personality | Yes | 28 | $14 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 22 | $11 |
| Euphoric-Talk | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 200+ at 50.5%. Next is 120-139 at 15.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-october-27-november-3-2026?via=bro
$5.2K in total volume, with $5.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump.
200+, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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