As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 61.5% in Dota 2 patch 7.42 released by...? — $2.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 61.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -16.0 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, December 31 has traded between 61.5% and 77.5%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 61.5%.
December 31 is favored at 61.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 62¢ | 61.5% | -16.0 pts | $738 | 34.7% |
| November 30 | 57¢ | 57.0% | — | $480 | 22.5% |
| October 31 | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.5 pts | $912 | 42.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 35¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.1K has been traded on this event in total, $55 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases Dota 2 gameplay patch 7.42 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "patch 7.42" refers to a gameplay update officially titled "7.42" by Valve. If Valve gives the next numbered gameplay update after the 7.41 series a different number (e.g., "7.50" or "8.00"), that update will also qualify. Lettered updates to the 7.41 series (e.g., "7.41g"), hotfixes, cosmetic or event updates, and updates without a new patch number will not qualify. The patch will be considered released when it is live in the public Dota 2 client and available to all players. An announcement, teaser, patch-notes preview, or content available only in a test, beta, or experimental client will not qualify on its own. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, including the Dota 2 patch notes page (https://www.dota2.com/patches); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.dota2.com/patches
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Stimulating-Spasm | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| 0x16e79aa0… | No | 20 | $8 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 17 | $6 |
| Far-Off-Hose | Yes | 13 | $8 |
| Unnatural-Kitsch-Revolution | No | 10 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 8 | $3 |
| Radiant-Divide | No | 3 | $1 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.6% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 09:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 01:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 05:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 02:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 10:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 61.5%. Next is November 30 at 57.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/dota-2-patch-7pt42-released-by?via=bro
$2.1K in total volume, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.dota2.com/patches.
December 31, priced at 61.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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