As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.2% in Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? — $6.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +0.4 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, No has traded between 46.0% and 95.6%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 95.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.2% |
No is favored at 95.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.2% | -0.4 pts | $6.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.4 pts | $6.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 820 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villainous-Crook | No | 820 | $780 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 275 | $13 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 227 | $11 |
| Scrawny-Venture | No | 160 | $153 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 157 | $8 |
| Insubstantial-Tentacle | Yes | 111 | $5 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 100 | $5 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 92 | $4 |
| Evil-Row | No | 77 | $74 |
| False-Sightseeing | Yes | 67 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 02:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 12:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 08:05 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 13, 02:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $22 |
| Oct 12, 10:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $4 |
| Sep 21, 11:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 04:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Sep 15, 08:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $54 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.2%. Next is Yes at 4.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/doug-ford-out-as-pc-party-leader-by-december-31?via=bro
$6.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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