As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 43.8% in E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 43.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.3 pts; past week: +16.9 pts; past month: +15.9 pts.
Since July 31, 2026, December 31 has traded between 7.0% and 55.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 27.6% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 28.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
December 31 is favored at 43.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 44¢ | 43.8% | -5.3 pts | $123 | 9.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 80¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of E. Jean Carroll between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 25 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis | No | 25 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 21 | $9 |
| Remote-Statue-Loaf | Yes | 16 | $7 |
| Frail-Prayer | Yes | 12 | $5 |
| Juvenile-Rumor | No | 12 | $7 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 8 | $3 |
| Practical-Finger | No | 7 | $4 |
| Studious-Breath | No | 5 | $3 |
| Short-Term-Complicity | No | 4 | $2 |
| Delayed-Rhetoric | No | 4 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 02:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.1% | $0 |
| Sep 24, 09:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.1% | $4 |
| Sep 18, 11:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Sep 13, 01:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $12 |
| Sep 12, 10:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $1 |
| Sep 12, 12:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $1 |
| Sep 11, 08:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $3 |
| Sep 11, 03:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $4 |
| Sep 10, 06:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.2% | $7 |
| Sep 10, 04:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 43.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/e-jean-carroll-federally-charged-by?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 43.8% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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