As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 88.0% in Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 88.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 73.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 82.0% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
Yes is favored at 88.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88¢ | 88.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.4K | 100.0% |
| No | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.4K has been traded on this event in total, $45 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, eBay is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for eBay’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.44 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if eBay reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.44 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If eBay releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/EBAY/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 633 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 633 | $557 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 326 | $39 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 150 | $18 |
| Proud-Orientation | Yes | 120 | $106 |
| Woozy-Stepaunt | No | 112 | $13 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 80 | $10 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 44 | $39 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 44 | $5 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 22 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $195 |
| Oct 22, 06:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 7.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 06:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 06:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 06:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 88.0%. Next is No at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ebay-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-1pt44?via=bro
$1.4K in total volume, with $45 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/EBAY/earnings.
Yes, priced at 88.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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