As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.5% in Ebola pandemic in 2026? — $788.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.
Since May 15, 2026, No has traded between 89.5% and 98.2%. It opened at 95.0% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.5% |
No is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.5% | -0.1 pts | $788.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.1 pts | $788.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$788.7K has been traded on this event in total, $208 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 26,850 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cute-Oxford | No | 26,850 | $26.2K |
| Queasy-Bob | No | 15,771 | $15.4K |
| Idle-Rainstorm | Yes | 13,331 | $333 |
| Favorable-Daikon | Yes | 10,732 | $268 |
| Brief-Beet | Yes | 6,568 | $164 |
| Tedious-Maple | Yes | 6,000 | $150 |
| Pleased-Bootie | No | 5,000 | $4.9K |
| Different-Drawer | Yes | 4,101 | $103 |
| Idle-Soldier | Yes | 3,972 | $99 |
| Frugal-Polarisation | No | 3,000 | $2.9K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 01:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 05:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 04:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 04:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 04:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 07:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 05:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.5%. Next is Yes at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ebola-pandemic-in-2026?via=bro
$788.7K in total volume, with $208 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.