As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna at 81.0% in Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $7.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna, is priced at 81.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna has traded between 76.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 76.0% and last traded at 81.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.0% |
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna is favored at 81.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna | 81¢ | 81.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.6K | 72.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ifeanyi Chukwuma Odii | 12¢ | 12.1% | -0.2 pts | $2.0K | 26.0% |
| Splendor Oko Eze | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.1 pts | $92 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ebonyi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 426 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar | No | 426 | $81 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 263 | $213 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 244 | $198 |
| 0x539b87c0… | Yes | 70 | $57 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 64 | $12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 49 | $40 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 42 | $8 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 30 | $6 |
| Mortified-Wetland | No | 21 | $4 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.8% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 11:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.6% | $44 |
| Oct 16, 11:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.1% | $12 |
| Oct 16, 11:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.5% | $6 |
| Oct 11, 04:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $17 |
| Oct 04, 01:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 03, 07:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $40 |
| Oct 03, 07:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $10 |
| Sep 24, 03:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $2 |
| Sep 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.2% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna at 81.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ebonyi-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$7.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna, priced at 81.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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