As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? — $51.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.1 pts.
Since February 21, 2026, No has traded between 93.5% and 98.6%. It opened at 93.5% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $51.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $51.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,838 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser | No | 4,838 | $4.8K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 3,153 | $49 |
| Few-Prevention | Yes | 2,356 | $37 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 663 | $10 |
| Loving-Inglenook | No | 500 | $492 |
| Crooked-Building | No | 284 | $279 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 201 | $3 |
| Fruitful-Heroine | Yes | 198 | $3 |
| Muffled-Pelican | No | 181 | $178 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 158 | $155 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 12:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 01:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 01:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 08:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 10:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 10:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 02:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 01:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 12:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eileen-gu-citizenship-revoked?via=bro
$51.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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