As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place — $14.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Party A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| PCN | 33¢ | 33.0% | +3.0 pts | $4.1K | 29.1% |
| Vamos | 12¢ | 12.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.9K | 13.5% |
| ARENA | 9¢ | 9.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.9K | 13.1% |
| PAIS | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $2.6K | 18.6% |
| Salvadoran Democracy (DS) | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $696 | 4.9% |
| PDC | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $525 | 3.7% |
| FPS | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $501 | 3.5% |
| Nuevas Ideas (NI) | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $797 | 5.6% |
| FMLN | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $399 | 2.8% |
| GANA | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $431 | 3.0% |
| Solidary Force (FS) | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $275 | 1.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.1K has been traded on this event in total, $425 of it in the last 24 hours, across 38 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.tse.gob.sv/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 473 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 473 | $237 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 193 | $97 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 86 | $43 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 36 | $18 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 32 | $16 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 29 | $14 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 26 | $13 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 25 | $12 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 15 | $7 |
| Corny-Microwave-Boudoir | Yes | 14 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 03:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 02:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/el-salvador-legislative-election-2nd-place?via=bro
$14.1K in total volume, with $425 traded in the last 24 hours across 38 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tse.gob.sv/.
Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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