Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place — $14.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $425.
Leading outcome
Party A
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Party A50.0%
Party B50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Category
World, Politics, Elections, el salvador, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$14.1K
Volume (24h)
$425
Liquidity
$144.2K
Markets
38
Leading outcome
Party A — 50.0%
Resolution source
https://www.tse.gob.sv/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Party A is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Party A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
PCN33¢33.0%+3.0 pts$4.1K29.1%
Vamos12¢12.5%+1.0 pts$1.9K13.5%
ARENA9¢9.0%+1.0 pts$1.9K13.1%
PAIS5¢5.0%—$2.6K18.6%
Salvadoran Democracy (DS)2¢1.7%—$6964.9%
PDC1¢0.5%—$5253.7%
FPS0¢0.5%—$5013.5%
Nuevas Ideas (NI)0¢0.1%-0.1 pts$7975.6%
FMLN0¢0.1%—$3992.8%
GANA0¢0.1%—$4313.0%
Solidary Force (FS)0¢0.1%—$2751.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.1K has been traded on this event in total, $425 of it in the last 24 hours, across 38 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.tse.gob.sv/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 473 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No473$237
Starry-StudioYes193$97
Grown-FenceYes86$43
Victorious-Tape-MaxYes36$18
Admirable-TrustYes32$16
Messy-Ritual-HopsYes29$14
Required-HornYes26$13
Advanced-MailerYes25$12
Sparse-CookieYes15$7
Corny-Microwave-BoudoirYes14$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $166 at 89.2%BUY No — $55 at 84.2%BUY No — $52 at 79.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:33 PM ETNoBUY64.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:05 PM ETNoBUY64.0%$13
Oct 24, 03:44 PM ETNoBUY59.0%$12
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETYesBUY38.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:49 PM ETYesBUY33.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:49 PM ETNoBUY68.0%$14
Oct 24, 02:17 PM ETNoBUY65.0%$46
Oct 24, 12:11 PM ETNoSELL77.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:09 PM ETYesSELL8.0%$0
Oct 24, 12:08 PM ETYesSELL9.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/el-salvador-legislative-election-2nd-place?via=bro

How much money has been traded on El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

$14.1K in total volume, with $425 traded in the last 24 hours across 38 markets.

When does El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place end?

The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tse.gob.sv/.

What is the most likely outcome of El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place, according to Polymarket traders?

Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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