As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1000+ at 64.5% in Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026? — $17.4K traded so far.
1000+ is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000+ | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $575 | 3.3% |
| 960-999 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $170 | 1.0% |
| 920-959 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $91 | 0.5% |
| 880-919 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $97 | 0.6% |
| 840-879 | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $90 | 0.5% |
| 800-839 | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $123 | 0.7% |
| 780-799 | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $198 | 1.1% |
| 760-779 | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $181 | 1.0% |
| 740-759 | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $206 | 1.2% |
| 600-619 | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 580-599 | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 560-579 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 520-539 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 540-559 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 620-639 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $581 | 3.3% |
| 640-659 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 660-679 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 680-699 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 700-719 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 720-739 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $181 | 1.0% |
| 500-519 | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 440-459 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 460-479 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 480-499 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 420-439 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $81 | 0.5% |
| 380-399 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 400-419 | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 320-339 | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 340-359 | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 360-379 | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 300-319 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| <20 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $82 | 0.5% |
| 180-199 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $726 | 4.2% |
| 220-239 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 240-259 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 260-279 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 280-299 | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 20-39 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 6.1% |
| 60-79 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $640 | 3.7% |
| 80-99 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $640 | 3.7% |
| 100-119 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 120-139 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 140-159 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 160-179 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 200-219 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $648 | 3.7% |
| 40-59 | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $859 | 4.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.4K has been traded on this event in total, $17.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 46 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 01, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 712 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 712 | $253 |
| Verifiable-Macaw | Yes | 630 | $406 |
| Intentional-Miss | Yes | 177 | $114 |
| Inexperienced-Champion | Yes | 93 | $60 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | No | 67 | $24 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 54 | $19 |
| Wrong-Urn | No | 20 | $7 |
| Admired-Menu | No | 20 | $7 |
| 0xa2b6c5e6… | No | 20 | $7 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $706 |
| Oct 24, 11:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $629 |
| Oct 24, 11:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $827 |
| Oct 24, 01:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $209 |
| Oct 24, 01:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $209 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 12:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 12:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1000+ at 64.5%. Next is 960-999 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2026?via=bro
$17.4K in total volume, with $17.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 46 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 01, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/elonmusk.
1000+, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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