As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 40-64 at 36.0% in Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026? — $1.1K traded so far.
40-64 is favored at 36.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 36¢ | 36.0% | — | $115 | 10.4% |
| 65-89 | 34¢ | 34.5% | — | $95 | 8.5% |
| 90-114 | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $62 | 5.6% |
| 115-139 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $72 | 6.5% |
| <40 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $103 | 9.2% |
| 140-164 | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $121 | 10.9% |
| 165-189 | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $51 | 4.6% |
| 190-214 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $161 | 14.5% |
| 215-239 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $166 | 14.9% |
| 240+ | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $166 | 14.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 35¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 26 12:00 PM ET to October 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 127 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 127 | $81 |
| Rich-Sun | Yes | 70 | $25 |
| Subtle-Skeleton-Prosecution | Yes | 59 | $21 |
| Happy-Dairy-Swimsuit | No | 20 | $13 |
| Magnificent-Pawnshop-Fiery | No | 19 | $12 |
| Wrong-Appropriation | Yes | 18 | $6 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 18 | $6 |
| 0x8c45de45f785345fce59def940aae92d7e8c9c1d | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Powerful-Waste | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 40-64 at 36.0%. Next is 65-89 at 34.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-26-october-28-2026?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/elonmusk.
40-64, priced at 36.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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