As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 75.0% in Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27? — $108 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 75.0%.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 72.0% and 82.5%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.0% |
No is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 75¢ | 75.0% | — | $108 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $108 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 40¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$108 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk ceases to be a co-lead of the U.S. Department of War’s Project Meridian for any period of time during which the project is ongoing between market creation and January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/removal before the projects conclusion by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The conclusion or dissolution of Project Meridian before January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calculating-Skirt | Yes | 100 | $25 |
| Big-Repair | No | 57 | $42 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 43 | $33 |
| All-Peasant-Drug | Yes | 8 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 8 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 04:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $39 |
| Oct 02, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 75.0%. Next is Yes at 25.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-out-as-project-meridian-co-lead-by-january-27?via=bro
$108 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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