As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Manchester United FC at 52.0% in Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - First Team to Score — $40 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Manchester United FC, is priced at 52.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +3.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Manchester United FC has traded between 49.0% and 59.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 52.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.0% |
Manchester United FC is favored at 52.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC | 52¢ | 52.0% | -0.5 pts | $5 | 12.4% |
| AFC Bournemouth | 43¢ | 43.0% | +1.5 pts | $7 | 18.2% |
| Neither | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $28 | 69.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 53¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$40 has been traded on this event in total, $2 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.
In the upcoming match between Manchester United FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linear-Succotash | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| Scornful-West | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.8% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Manchester United FC at 52.0%. Next is AFC Bournemouth at 43.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-mun-bou-2026-10-25-first-to-score?via=bro
$40 in total volume, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.premierleague.com/.
Manchester United FC, priced at 52.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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