As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Arsenal at 96.8% in EPL: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League — $56.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Arsenal, is priced at 96.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +1.3 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Arsenal has traded between 88.0% and 99.1%. It opened at 89.0% and last traded at 96.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.8% |
Arsenal is favored at 96.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 97¢ | 96.8% | +0.2 pts | $4.6K | 8.2% |
| Chelsea | 81¢ | 81.0% | +8.5 pts | $6.6K | 11.7% |
| Liverpool | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $3.4K | 6.1% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $4.4K | 7.8% |
| Manchester City | 34¢ | 34.0% | — | $14.5K | 25.7% |
| Brentford | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $1.4K | 2.6% |
| Manchester United | 20¢ | 20.0% | -3.5 pts | $9.2K | 16.2% |
| Aston Villa | 19¢ | 19.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 2.8% |
| Bournemouth | 17¢ | 17.2% | -5.9 pts | $3.2K | 5.6% |
| Crystal Palace | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Leeds United | 16¢ | 15.5% | -1.0 pts | $11 | 0.0% |
| Fulham | 15¢ | 15.1% | +0.2 pts | $605 | 1.1% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 14¢ | 13.6% | +4.4 pts | $3.3K | 5.9% |
| Everton | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.1 pts | $183 | 0.3% |
| Newcastle United | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $2.0K | 3.5% |
| Coventry City | 10¢ | 9.8% | +0.1 pts | $303 | 0.5% |
| Nottingham Forest | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $42 | 0.1% |
| Sunderland | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.5 pts | $21 | 0.0% |
| Hull City | 5¢ | 4.6% | +0.1 pts | $915 | 1.6% |
| Ipswich Town | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $260 | 0.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$56.6K has been traded on this event in total, $894 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Premier League season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Premier League league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Premier League standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Premier League season is cancelled or postponed past May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 911 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Diversity | Yes | 911 | $882 |
| Immaterial-Secretariat | No | 432 | $14 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 384 | $12 |
| Authentic-Sandbar | Yes | 376 | $364 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 205 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 100 | $3 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff | No | 95 | $3 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse | No | 60 | $2 |
| Supportive-Leek-Preparation | No | 5 | $0 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Arsenal at 96.8%. Next is Chelsea at 81.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-team-to-qualify-for-the-2027-28-uefa-champions-league?via=bro
$56.6K in total volume, with $894 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Arsenal, priced at 96.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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