As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Party A at 50.0% in Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner — $6.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Party A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Party A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isamaa | 44¢ | 44.0% | +7.0 pts | $1.7K | 27.0% |
| Centre Party | 32¢ | 32.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.7K | 28.0% |
| Social Democratic Party | 15¢ | 15.3% | +11.8 pts | $700 | 11.3% |
| Reform Party | 8¢ | 8.0% | -7.5 pts | $720 | 11.6% |
| EKRE | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $502 | 8.1% |
| Parempoolsed | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $439 | 7.1% |
| Eesti 200 | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $418 | 6.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.2K has been traded on this event in total, $339 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 07, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Riigikogu of Estonia are scheduled to take place on March 7, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Riigikogu as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 438 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 438 | $219 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 153 | $77 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 129 | $64 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 61 | $30 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 51 | $25 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Murky-Repayment | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 11:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 11:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 04:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 02:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Party A at 50.0%. Next is Party B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/estonia-parliamentary-election-winner?via=bro
$6.2K in total volume, with $339 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 07, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Party A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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