As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 99.5% in Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET — $4.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 99.5%.
Since August 04, 2026, Up has traded between 50.5% and 100.0%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 99.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.5% |
Up is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 100¢ | 99.5% | — | $4.0K | 100.0% |
| Down | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $4.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end August 05, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Down.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| First-Allowance | Down | 100 | $0 |
| Mountainous-Buy | Down | 93 | $0 |
| Frosty-Skyscraper-Goal | Down | 57 | $0 |
| Granular-Polish-Sweets | Down | 54 | $0 |
| Yummy-Treasure-Odometer | Down | 45 | $0 |
| Irritating-Lamb | Down | 36 | $0 |
| Crazy-Councilor | Down | 32 | $0 |
| Wooden-Hearsay | Down | 32 | $0 |
| Whispered-Ambition | Down | 26 | $0 |
| Peppery-Digging | Down | 15 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 11:09 AM ET | Up | SELL | 99.0% | $1 |
| Aug 05, 11:00 AM ET | Up | SELL | 99.0% | $19 |
| Aug 05, 11:00 AM ET | Up | SELL | 99.0% | $10 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 98.4% | $10 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Up | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Down | BUY | 3.8% | $2 |
| Aug 05, 10:59 AM ET | Down | BUY | 3.8% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 99.5%. Next is Down at 0.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/eth-updown-5m-1785941700?via=bro
$4.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end August 05, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd.
Up, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.