As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2028 at 35.5% in Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by ___? — $3.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2028, is priced at 35.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -13.0 pts; past month: -22.0 pts.
Since August 04, 2026, December 31, 2028 has traded between 29.5% and 62.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 35.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 35.5% |
December 31, 2028 is favored at 35.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2028 | 36¢ | 35.5% | +0.5 pts | $691 | 23.1% |
| December 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $2.3K | 76.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 35¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2029, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a tapered issuance burn is activated on the Ethereum mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tapered issuance burn means a consensus-layer change to the Ethereum protocol, as described in EIP-8361 or any renumbered, revised, or successor proposal, that satisfies all of the following: - The change charges validators a deduction against consensus-layer issuance (staking rewards), with the deducted ETH permanently destroyed rather than redirected to any other party. - The size of the deduction increases with Ethereum's staking ratio (the share of total ETH supply that is staked), such that the net issuance incentive to stake declines toward zero as the staking ratio approaches a defined saturation level. - The change is live and enforced on the Ethereum mainnet by the date specified in the title. Changes to the parameters described in EIP-8361 as drafted (including the burn formula, saturation level, transition schedule, or base reward factor) will not affect resolution, provided the criteria above are met. A change to Ethereum's issuance schedule or reward curve that does not involve burning ETH as a function of the staking ratio does not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 60 | $39 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 40 | $14 |
| Motherly-Parliament-Lament | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Guilty-Vulture | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Giving-Gateway | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Infantile-Reconsideration | No | 20 | $13 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $27 |
| Oct 21, 03:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 04:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 04:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $13 |
| Oct 18, 11:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 05:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $13 |
| Oct 18, 05:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $4 |
| Oct 17, 09:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 17, 09:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 09:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2028 at 35.5%. Next is December 31, 2027 at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-tapered-issuance-burn-implemented-by?via=bro
$3.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2029, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, 2028, priced at 35.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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