As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 90.5% in Ethereum Up or Down on October 25? — $22.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 90.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +40.5 pts.
Up is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 90¢ | 90.5% | +40.5 pts | $22.6K | 100.0% |
| Down | 10¢ | 9.5% | -40.5 pts | $22.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.6K has been traded on this event in total, $23.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 9,765 shares of Up.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Up | 9,765 | $8.8K |
| Meek-Bolero-Chopstick | Down | 5,563 | $528 |
| Glum-Seashore | Down | 2,736 | $260 |
| Hungry-Cormorant | Up | 1,656 | $1.5K |
| Klutzy-Sale | Down | 1,400 | $133 |
| Long-Term-Sustainment-Globe | Down | 1,382 | $131 |
| Taut-Ease-Bloodflow | Up | 1,207 | $1.1K |
| Mushy-Buck | Down | 1,000 | $95 |
| High-Notation | Up | 906 | $820 |
| Oily-Container | Down | 896 | $85 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:11 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $78 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $70 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $70 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Down | BUY | 10.0% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 90.5%. Next is Down at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026?via=bro
$22.6K in total volume, with $23.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
Up, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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